Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000665 0.000755 0.000850 0.000957 0.001076 0.001201 0.001345
2025-11-23 0.000507 0.000628 0.000764 0.000929 0.001122 0.001338 0.001599
2025-11-30 0.000430 0.000565 0.000725 0.000926 0.001170 0.001453 0.001806
2025-12-07 0.000373 0.000517 0.000694 0.000926 0.001215 0.001561 0.002004
2025-12-14 0.000324 0.000472 0.000661 0.000916 0.001243 0.001645 0.002170
2025-12-21 0.000283 0.000432 0.000629 0.000901 0.001261 0.001714 0.002317
2025-12-28 0.000262 0.000417 0.000628 0.000926 0.001329 0.001846 0.002545
2026-01-04 0.000241 0.000399 0.000620 0.000941 0.001383 0.001959 0.002752
2026-01-11 0.000216 0.000373 0.000598 0.000933 0.001404 0.002029 0.002903
2026-01-18 0.000193 0.000347 0.000574 0.000921 0.001418 0.002089 0.003039
2026-01-25 0.000179 0.000333 0.000566 0.000929 0.001460 0.002186 0.003229
2026-02-01 0.000164 0.000317 0.000554 0.000932 0.001493 0.002271 0.003401
2026-02-08 0.000143 0.000288 0.000522 0.000902 0.001477 0.002288 0.003483
2026-02-15 0.000126 0.000265 0.000495 0.000878 0.001469 0.002316 0.003578
2026-02-22 0.000114 0.000250 0.000482 0.000874 0.001490 0.002384 0.003732
2026-03-01 0.000105 0.000238 0.000471 0.000874 0.001516 0.002459 0.003896
2026-03-08 0.000094 0.000224 0.000455 0.000864 0.001527 0.002512 0.004029
2026-03-15 0.000085 0.000209 0.000438 0.000850 0.001530 0.002552 0.004145
2026-03-22 0.000081 0.000207 0.000443 0.000874 0.001593 0.002684 0.004396
2026-03-29 0.000077 0.000202 0.000442 0.000888 0.001640 0.002793 0.004616
2026-04-05 0.000070 0.000191 0.000430 0.000880 0.001652 0.002848 0.004756
2026-04-12 0.000063 0.000180 0.000415 0.000869 0.001656 0.002891 0.004879
2026-04-19 0.000059 0.000175 0.000412 0.000877 0.001694 0.002987 0.005082